Some NFL picks are based on pure gut instinct, others on a lot of hard work and statistics. Handicappers have many tricks up their sleeves when trying to find the best football picks. Some will advise you to wager against a road team that won their last match played by more than 21 points.I feel bad for Mark because he hit that bad shot at the end. No one wants to win that way."Rypien, who led after the opening round on Friday with 27 points, had his chance to win in regulation but his 15foot putt for birdie missed left, setting up a playoff with Tolliver. Rypien won the inaugural event in 1990 and has been runnerup each of the past two years.On the third playoff hole, his pitch found the lake and opened the door for Tolliver, who also won the event in 1996, 2005 and 2010."That hole has my number," said Rypien, who birdied the short par5 finishing hole just one of the three days.Mulder mounted the biggest rally on the last day and birdied two of the final three holes